Description

This analysis provides a forecast of BCH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-15 0.004684 0.004937 0.005197 0.005485 0.005795 0.006120 0.006486
2024-12-22 0.004209 0.004580 0.004979 0.005442 0.005965 0.006542 0.007228
2024-12-29 0.003868 0.004297 0.004772 0.005339 0.006003 0.006760 0.007697
2025-01-05 0.003617 0.004084 0.004611 0.005257 0.006034 0.006946 0.008111
2025-01-12 0.003462 0.003964 0.004543 0.005268 0.006160 0.007236 0.008654
2025-01-19 0.003224 0.003731 0.004324 0.005078 0.006025 0.007190 0.008761
2025-01-26 0.003121 0.003652 0.004282 0.005098 0.006143 0.007458 0.009278
2025-02-02 0.003088 0.003653 0.004336 0.005236 0.006412 0.007928 0.010086
2025-02-09 0.002965 0.003537 0.004236 0.005171 0.006411 0.008040 0.010408
2025-02-16 0.002874 0.003456 0.004177 0.005153 0.006468 0.008228 0.010844
2025-02-23 0.002781 0.003369 0.004104 0.005112 0.006491 0.008367 0.011213
2025-03-02 0.002739 0.003345 0.004112 0.005176 0.006657 0.008709 0.011898
2025-03-09 0.002665 0.003278 0.004062 0.005164 0.006719 0.008912 0.012394
2025-03-16 0.002584 0.003199 0.003993 0.005122 0.006738 0.009053 0.012805
2025-03-23 0.002488 0.003098 0.003890 0.005028 0.006674 0.009067 0.013014
2025-03-30 0.002405 0.003010 0.003804 0.004952 0.006634 0.009111 0.013271
2025-04-06 0.002358 0.002970 0.003778 0.004962 0.006717 0.009346 0.013853
2025-04-13 0.002249 0.002841 0.003628 0.004787 0.006518 0.009134 0.013670
2025-04-20 0.002212 0.002810 0.003613 0.004806 0.006610 0.009380 0.014284
2025-04-27 0.002213 0.002832 0.003670 0.004933 0.006873 0.009910 0.015432
2025-05-04 0.002153 0.002767 0.003603 0.004873 0.006841 0.009960 0.015724
2025-05-11 0.002110 0.002724 0.003567 0.004856 0.006877 0.010123 0.016231
2025-05-18 0.002063 0.002674 0.003518 0.004819 0.006878 0.010225 0.016633